BMW M3 and M4 - The Icons
BMW Garage BMW Meets Register Today's Posts
home
G80 BMW M3 and M4 General Topics BMW M3 (G80), M4 (G82), CSL and 3.0 CSL General Forum

Post Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
      04-23-2024, 09:12 AM   #177
RussV
Private
87
Rep
56
Posts

Drives: 2024 BMW M4 Competition XDrive
Join Date: Sep 2023
Location: Northern California

iTrader: (0)

If you can’t pay cash, you can’t afford it.
Appreciate 8
      04-23-2024, 09:37 AM   #178
harperium
Major
harperium's Avatar
1313
Rep
1,065
Posts

Drives: G80 M3cx
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: Chicago

iTrader: (0)

just get a NINJA loan...
Appreciate 0
      04-23-2024, 11:31 AM   #179
2011ninja
Colonel
2011ninja's Avatar
Jamaica
3404
Rep
2,633
Posts

Drives: 2022 G80 6MT
Join Date: Feb 2020
Location: Connecticut

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gottagofast View Post
Regular McDonald's salary should suffice.
their executive salary is $250,000.00+

Maybe enough overtime on fries you could pull off buying a used 318ti
Appreciate 0
      04-23-2024, 11:45 AM   #180
christianb5s4
Captain
852
Rep
608
Posts

Drives: Built 2001 Audi S4
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: Newport Beach, CA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by RussV View Post
If you can’t pay cash, you can’t afford it.
That's my mentality too. Income is secondary from saving, plenty of people make a lot and are cash poor.
__________________
2024 M3 CompX Dravit Grey - MP HAS - Millway - MHC+ carbon - CS software - MAD single-mid - PPF
2019 G05 X5 x40i, built 2001 600whp B5 S4.
Appreciate 2
TxFeatFan503.50
RussV87.00
      04-23-2024, 11:48 AM   #181
1bmwaddict
No music no life....
1bmwaddict's Avatar
787
Rep
711
Posts

Drives: 22" F95
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: West Palm Beach

iTrader: (3)

NOT TRUE. STOP!

Why pay cash for a depreciating asset? Considering the current high inflation rate, investing in some assets can feel like doubling down on a depreciating asset.


Quote:
Originally Posted by RussV View Post
If you can’t pay cash, you can’t afford it.
__________________
RETIRED: '18 SMB M3CS
RETIRED: '16 MB M4GTS
RETIRED: '16 BLK M2
Appreciate 6
Trevorr88.50
M4ord791.50
'Cane8565.50
CMW33313.50
      04-23-2024, 11:56 AM   #182
Lupeskew
Second Lieutenant
Lupeskew's Avatar
United_States
619
Rep
299
Posts

Drives: 24 BMW M4 G83 IOMG
Join Date: Sep 2023
Location: Lake Tapps, WA

iTrader: (0)

I would just call these guys. They always help me.

Name:  download (1).jpg
Views: 328
Size:  8.8 KB
Appreciate 2
      04-23-2024, 12:15 PM   #183
Trevorr
Private
89
Rep
71
Posts

Drives: 2022 GT500 CFTP
Join Date: Nov 2023
Location: Darnestown, MD

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by 1bmwaddict View Post
NOT TRUE. STOP!

Why pay cash for a depreciating asset? Considering the current high inflation rate, investing in some assets can feel like doubling down on a depreciating asset.
Yeah paying cash is stupid. And paying cash is code for "I don't know how to invest."

If I had $100k today and then blew it all on a car and my money market account went down to 0, I have to start over and miss out on the compounding interest.

Whereas if I financed the car completely and then just kept saving money along with that $100k, its just going to keep growing.

This is literally what wealthier people do. However, with interest rates like they are right now, this strategy isn't ideal until they come down.
Appreciate 3
Aalfred2620.50
      04-23-2024, 12:25 PM   #184
deanomytee
New Member
15
Rep
19
Posts

Drives: e36,135,AlpinaB7,G80M3M
Join Date: Jan 2024
Location: Louisiana

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trevorr View Post
Yeah paying cash is stupid. And paying cash is code for "I don't know how to invest."

If I had $100k today and then blew it all on a car and my money market account went down to 0, I have to start over and miss out on the compounding interest.

Whereas if I financed the car completely and then just kept saving money along with that $100k, its just going to keep growing.

This is literally what wealthier people do. However, with interest rates like they are right now, this strategy isn't ideal until they come down.

Someone knows what they are talking about!!!! I have always been the of the mind frame that If you have the cash to pay for a car you should take that cash and invest it into something that produces more return than the interest rate being charged. At the end of the loan period you should be well ahead of the interest rate charged on the car, as long as you are paying attention to your investment.
Appreciate 2
Trevorr88.50
Aalfred2620.50
      04-23-2024, 02:57 PM   #185
CMW33
Second Lieutenant
CMW33's Avatar
314
Rep
211
Posts

Drives: 2024 G80 Comp
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: NoVA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trevorr View Post
Yeah paying cash is stupid. And paying cash is code for "I don't know how to invest."

If I had $100k today and then blew it all on a car and my money market account went down to 0, I have to start over and miss out on the compounding interest.

Whereas if I financed the car completely and then just kept saving money along with that $100k, its just going to keep growing.

This is literally what wealthier people do. However, with interest rates like they are right now, this strategy isn't ideal until they come down.
Yes, exactly right. Income, investments, debt, taxes... it's all holistic and it's about how to structure these things so that you come out ahead in the end.

That said, it's a complicated equation that doesn't boil down to a simple answer (and the answer changes over time) so maybe for most people, it's just easier to live by a basic axiom like "debt is bad".

Last edited by CMW33; 04-23-2024 at 06:34 PM..
Appreciate 2
Trevorr88.50
TxFeatFan503.50
      04-23-2024, 03:07 PM   #186
geko29
Major
1569
Rep
1,425
Posts

Drives: 2023 M3 6MT
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Illinois, USA

iTrader: (2)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trevorr View Post
Yeah paying cash is stupid. And paying cash is code for "I don't know how to invest."

If I had $100k today and then blew it all on a car and my money market account went down to 0, I have to start over and miss out on the compounding interest.

Whereas if I financed the car completely and then just kept saving money along with that $100k, its just going to keep growing.

This is literally what wealthier people do. However, with interest rates like they are right now, this strategy isn't ideal until they come down.
Your first paragraph is completely undermined by your last one.

The reality is, there's no hard and fast rule. It's situational. Had my car come in December of 2022 when promotional rates were 1.9% and I was making 3.8% on cash (which went to 4.3% a month later), hell yeah finance the whole thing for as long as they'll give me. By delivery in June the promotional rates were 5.29% and I was making 4.55%, which is more like 3% after taxes. I paid cash, and we still have plenty.

Next time we buy a car (which honestly will be a while), I'll evaluate the situation, and choose whatever method of purchase is most financially advantageous at that time. Might be another cash purchase, might be a finance, might be a lease. It all depends.

There's a particular problem with this statement, which I've highlighted:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trevorr View Post
Whereas if I financed the car completely and then just kept saving money along with that $100k, its just going to keep growing.
Taking the financing means reducing your monthly discretionary income by the amount of the payment. That is cashflow that is no longer available for saving or investment. So you start with a larger base, but the "build" is slower. Everything is a tradeoff, with both benefits and drawbacks. You make the best decision you can, with the information you have at the time.
__________________

Appreciate 3
      04-23-2024, 03:40 PM   #187
Trevorr
Private
89
Rep
71
Posts

Drives: 2022 GT500 CFTP
Join Date: Nov 2023
Location: Darnestown, MD

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by geko29 View Post
Your first paragraph is completely undermined by your last one.

The reality is, there's no hard and fast rule. It's situational. Had my car come in December of 2022 when promotional rates were 1.9% and I was making 3.8% on cash (which went to 4.3% a month later), hell yeah finance the whole thing for as long as they'll give me. By delivery in June the promotional rates were 5.29% and I was making 4.55%, which is more like 3% after taxes. I paid cash, and we still have plenty.

Next time we buy a car (which honestly will be a while), I'll evaluate the situation, and choose whatever method of purchase is most financially advantageous at that time. Might be another cash purchase, might be a finance, might be a lease. It all depends.

There's a particular problem with this statement, which I've highlighted:



Taking the financing means reducing your monthly discretionary income by the amount of the payment. That is cashflow that is no longer available for saving or investment. So you start with a larger base, but the "build" is slower. Everything is a tradeoff, with both benefits and drawbacks. You make the best decision you can, with the information you have at the time.

Build is "slower" but compounding interest is still a thing.

Right now, interest rates are pretty high so market isn't great to finance a car but I still would not pay cash or put a large downpayment on a car as even though interest rates are high, interest on money market accounts and even high yield savings accounts are high as well.
Appreciate 0
      04-23-2024, 04:49 PM   #188
geko29
Major
1569
Rep
1,425
Posts

Drives: 2023 M3 6MT
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Illinois, USA

iTrader: (2)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trevorr View Post
Build is "slower" but compounding interest is still a thing.
Correct. But paying interest is also still a thing. And in the current state, after taxes it will significantly outpace your compound interest.

To use $100,000 as an example. The monthly payment on a 5-year loan at 5.29% is $1900.44. In the first month, $440.83 of that is interest. By contrast, the first month's interest on an equivalent HYSA earning 5% is $416.67. Not a huge difference, right? But that's before taxes. I just looked, and my overall effective tax rate for 2023 was 23.4%. So that $416.67 is now effectively $319.13 (Would actually be even less, as incremental dollars are taxed at the marginal rate and not the effective rate, but let's stay conservative). A $24 difference became a $120 difference. And you have $1900.44 to sock away.

Take both out 60 months, and in either scenario you now own the car. Assuming the rate on the HYSA stayed at 5% the entire time (highly unlikely, as we'll get to in a moment), the balance in your account is:

Finance: $127,803.40, less the $6,508.77 paid in taxes. Effectively $121,294.60
Cash purchase: $129,241.37, less $3,561.85 paid in taxes. Effectively $125,679.52

Now four and a half grand isn't life changing money for most of us on this board. But it's not nothing either--I expect most of us would be happy to accept a 4.5% rebate on our purchase, even if we didn't get it until 5 years after purchase. And key to all of this is the likely faulty assumption that interest rates are not going to fall in the next 5 years, which is directly opposite what the Fed has been indicating. The more rates fall, the larger the gap between the two options becomes.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trevorr View Post
Right now, interest rates are pretty high so market isn't great to finance a car but I still would not pay cash or put a large downpayment on a car as even though interest rates are high, interest on money market accounts and even high yield savings accounts are high as well.
They are indeed high as well. But importantly, not as high as finance rates, and even more importantly, expected to fall as many as seven times (probably fewer) between now and the end of 2024. So the inverse arbitrage you sign up for on day one is likely to only grow.

Now, there is an upside, as having the loan in that situation gives you optionality. If rates do fall dramatically and you reconsider your choice, you still have the cash, and you can choose to pay off the loan at any time. As I said above, benefits and downsides to every strategy.
__________________


Last edited by geko29; 04-23-2024 at 04:57 PM..
Appreciate 1
      04-23-2024, 05:32 PM   #189
CDunster
New Member
32
Rep
29
Posts

Drives: 2022 G80 M3 Competition xDrive
Join Date: Aug 2022
Location: Massachusetts

iTrader: (0)

Depends on so many circumstances. For example, I took delivery of my 2022 M3CX in September 2022 and am in a fortunate position where I could have paid cash...but I didn't.

At that time, I could still get a 1.9% loan from my local bank. That's nearly free money, so I tossed the money into an ETF (QQQ) and now that money is up nearly 60% from that date.
If rates weren't that low, or the markets were not performing, then I may have played my hand differently.
Appreciate 0
      04-23-2024, 05:48 PM   #190
Burrcold
Brigadier General
5335
Rep
3,977
Posts

Drives: 2024 M3 Comp xDrive
Join Date: Oct 2019
Location: Toronto, Canada

iTrader: (0)

I use a combo of high interest payday loans and home equity to pay my monthly $2k payment.
__________________
Current: 2024 BMW M3 Competition xDrive | 2022 Audi Q7
Gone: 2022 Audi RS5 | 2020 BMW M340i | 2019 Audi RS5
Appreciate 5
mjj177.50
TxFeatFan503.50
Lupeskew619.00
vlo3.00
Malloy992.50
      04-24-2024, 08:51 AM   #191
RussV
Private
87
Rep
56
Posts

Drives: 2024 BMW M4 Competition XDrive
Join Date: Sep 2023
Location: Northern California

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by 1bmwaddict View Post
NOT TRUE. STOP!

Why pay cash for a depreciating asset? Considering the current high inflation rate, investing in some assets can feel like doubling down on a depreciating asset.
Because I can. Stop!
Appreciate 0
      04-24-2024, 08:53 AM   #192
RussV
Private
87
Rep
56
Posts

Drives: 2024 BMW M4 Competition XDrive
Join Date: Sep 2023
Location: Northern California

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trevorr View Post
Yeah paying cash is stupid. And paying cash is code for "I don't know how to invest."

If I had $100k today and then blew it all on a car and my money market account went down to 0, I have to start over and miss out on the compounding interest.

Whereas if I financed the car completely and then just kept saving money along with that $100k, its just going to keep growing.

This is literally what wealthier people do. However, with interest rates like they are right now, this strategy isn't ideal until they come down.
Paying cash is knowing HOW to invest, hence having the ability to pay cash. Paying interest is stupid and not knowing how to invest.
Appreciate 1
      04-24-2024, 09:51 AM   #193
2011ninja
Colonel
2011ninja's Avatar
Jamaica
3404
Rep
2,633
Posts

Drives: 2022 G80 6MT
Join Date: Feb 2020
Location: Connecticut

iTrader: (0)

.
Attached Images
 
Appreciate 0
      04-24-2024, 10:35 AM   #194
G MONEY
Major
1240
Rep
1,447
Posts

Drives: 2017 458/ YAS m4
Join Date: Jan 2022
Location: EARTH

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by RussV View Post
Paying cash is knowing HOW to invest, hence having the ability to pay cash. Paying interest is stupid and not knowing how to invest.
It all depends on what you do with the cash. If it sits in your savings account, then by all means pay cash. If you going to invest the money, then by all means finance away. Me personally, I’m buying 2 duplex’s or 2 single family homes. Pretty them up and rent away. Or buy a shore house, fix and flip. Lots of different ways to go in these situations. Just need to be smart about it. Just tried for a flip in Margate and lost the place. Piss me off:-)
Appreciate 0
      04-24-2024, 10:40 AM   #195
Aalfred
Colonel
2621
Rep
2,021
Posts

Drives: 2023 M3CX, 2018 X3 M40i
Join Date: Apr 2022
Location: Milwaukee,WI

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by geko29 View Post
Assuming the rate on the HYSA stayed at 5% the entire time (highly unlikely, as we'll get to in a moment)
Valid points but only if you want to be ultra conservative and put your 100K on a HYSA. If you just do a index fund with no active management an average rate of return is about 8-10%. And you drop in 100K all at once your compounding interest is also higher than dollar cost averaging depending on where the market is. So in the end, you will still end up coming out on top with holding on to your cash AND invest it rather than putting in in a HYSA which will go down once interest rates do down and unless you are in your twilight years, if you have 100K expendable income, most of us would be ok investing than just sitting in a SA or CD.

So could work well based on your risk aversion and aggressiveness even with high interest rates like now
Appreciate 0
      04-24-2024, 11:13 AM   #196
Trevorr
Private
89
Rep
71
Posts

Drives: 2022 GT500 CFTP
Join Date: Nov 2023
Location: Darnestown, MD

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by RussV View Post
Paying cash is knowing HOW to invest, hence having the ability to pay cash. Paying interest is stupid and not knowing how to invest.
lol what?

What about when interest rates were 2-3% about 3 years ago? Why were huge firms/ individuals buying up homes using loans instead of paying cash for them?
Appreciate 0
      04-24-2024, 11:19 AM   #197
geko29
Major
1569
Rep
1,425
Posts

Drives: 2023 M3 6MT
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Illinois, USA

iTrader: (2)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aalfred View Post
Valid points but only if you want to be ultra conservative and put your 100K on a HYSA. If you just do a index fund with no active management an average rate of return is about 8-10%. And you drop in 100K all at once your compounding interest is also higher than dollar cost averaging depending on where the market is. So in the end, you will still end up coming out on top with holding on to your cash AND invest it rather than putting in in a HYSA which will go down once interest rates do down and unless you are in your twilight years, if you have 100K expendable income, most of us would be ok investing than just sitting in a SA or CD.

So could work well based on your risk aversion and aggressiveness even with high interest rates like now
Agreed completely. As I said, there are a lot of factors. Generally when making investment choices, one wants to compare the returns over a similar timeframe and on a risk-adjusted basis. The long-term trend of the market is invariably up, as you've stated. But that 8-10% includes some pretty horrific downturns, as well as milder ones like the -19.44% we saw in 2022, so sequence of returns risk is absolutely a thing especially in the short term.

Your overall investment strategy should be based on a definition of your risk tolerance. And assuming your current asset mix matches that risk tolerance, increasing your exposure to equities while adding mandatory cash outflows by definition increases your risk level beyond your tolerance. If your risk level was below your tolerance and investing more instead of paying cash brings you to your goal, why were you short previously? It's like a whole separate other conversation.
__________________


Last edited by geko29; 04-24-2024 at 11:28 AM..
Appreciate 1
Aalfred2620.50
      04-24-2024, 11:31 AM   #198
Trevorr
Private
89
Rep
71
Posts

Drives: 2022 GT500 CFTP
Join Date: Nov 2023
Location: Darnestown, MD

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aalfred View Post
Valid points but only if you want to be ultra conservative and put your 100K on a HYSA. If you just do a index fund with no active management an average rate of return is about 8-10%. And you drop in 100K all at once your compounding interest is also higher than dollar cost averaging depending on where the market is. So in the end, you will still end up coming out on top with holding on to your cash AND invest it rather than putting in in a HYSA which will go down once interest rates do down and unless you are in your twilight years, if you have 100K expendable income, most of us would be ok investing than just sitting in a SA or CD.

So could work well based on your risk aversion and aggressiveness even with high interest rates like now
Pretty much what I’m doing. I have a managed index fund, much higher than a HYSA. It really just depends on what you do with the funds.

I’m a quantitative data scientist here in DC and “manage” a 2 billion dollar budget. I’m a glorified statistician/mathematician so I look at numbers differently than the average person. I regularly project 10+ years out as part of my job. There are too many variables to account for but it *almost* always makes sense not to buy a car cash as you come out way ahead in 20+ years.

There’s a reason why most wealthy do not buy cars, they actually lease believe it or not. However, wealthier individuals are not leasing or even buying cars in todays market, they are holding out.
Appreciate 2
Aalfred2620.50
Post Reply

Bookmarks


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:24 PM.




g80
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
1Addicts.com, BIMMERPOST.com, E90Post.com, F30Post.com, M3Post.com, ZPost.com, 5Post.com, 6Post.com, 7Post.com, XBimmers.com logo and trademark are properties of BIMMERPOST