Quote:
Originally Posted by Alfisti
I am not a renowned fence sitter (!) but feel EV's will top out at about 30% market share, I see charging as the main obstacle. I can then see Hybrid taking another 30 to 35% and then the ICE the rest.
No one will hit their targets in 2030 or whatever year, too many people need good, cheap reliable cars (think Covi/corolla/elantra) and EV's are simply not going to be at that price point in 8 years.
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Agree, although I don't have a guess on % share of the market. But we are very far from where infrastructure needs to be for full adoption. Also solid state battery tech is needed for EV to go mainstream. Some say we are a good decade from solid state batteries being ready for automotive application. 2030 is optimistic for sure. For the brands that have stated they will be full EV by 2030, they will be all competing for a still small portion of the vehicle market.